Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 6.172176 6.792967 7.454643 8.213352 9.060469 9.978523 11.050567
2025-11-16 5.058440 5.882533 6.816971 7.958762 9.321373 10.901634 12.882128
2025-11-23 4.288767 5.230094 6.356364 7.811782 9.655063 11.928080 14.968306
2025-11-30 3.802142 4.838690 6.140552 7.911280 10.280885 13.376233 17.781184
2025-12-07 3.337024 4.408288 5.812456 7.811432 10.622500 14.492499 20.324709
2025-12-14 2.926318 3.994976 5.449710 7.606884 10.779480 15.361876 22.643927
2025-12-21 2.635334 3.708081 5.220246 7.549413 11.122433 16.523870 25.556717
2025-12-28 2.456156 3.556860 5.161112 7.724406 11.821334 18.298727 29.694970
2026-01-04 2.293117 3.409538 5.087492 7.861381 12.468613 20.068095 34.103529
2026-01-11 2.125697 3.236804 4.953960 7.882296 12.921220 21.566394 38.277659
2026-01-18 1.959358 3.048493 4.774801 7.803590 13.187923 22.769392 42.099210
2026-01-25 1.803240 2.861409 4.578000 7.669786 13.335050 23.767308 45.681422
2026-02-01 1.660638 2.686545 4.389234 7.536669 13.480552 24.808339 49.598250
2026-02-08 1.539950 2.537977 4.231236 7.441029 13.683717 25.989354 54.035538
2026-02-15 1.439587 2.415542 4.107062 7.393272 13.971913 27.379821 59.202308
2026-02-22 1.378879 2.357147 4.090724 7.546282 14.677575 29.735471 67.059470
2026-03-01 1.294565 2.249177 3.973942 7.490382 14.945001 31.189333 73.055302
2026-03-08 1.203398 2.121316 3.808860 7.320083 14.947147 32.051650 77.744397
2026-03-15 1.137120 2.034380 3.713561 7.281225 15.228539 33.592106 84.529910
2026-03-22 1.101743 2.002953 3.722439 7.460104 16.019512 36.461822 95.596617
2026-03-29 1.064260 1.964356 3.713461 7.599094 16.736187 39.264946 107.154470
2026-04-05 1.017564 1.904045 3.655487 7.624029 17.184866 41.460274 117.443574
2026-04-12 0.964808 1.827774 3.558532 7.551348 17.385867 43.038591 126.207700